4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1903
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,705/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$358
Net cashflow
$404/mo
Annual
$4,847/yr
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.95%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$40,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in IA, #406 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
Waverly-Shell Rock Community School District (town): math 79% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #46 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Margaretta Carey Elementary School (math 77% / reading 62%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 237 students, 25% FRL); Waverly-Shell Rock Middle School (math 79% / reading 73%, grade A, #59 of 246 statewide, top 26%, 699 students, 22% FRL); Waverly-Shell Rock Senior High School (math 79% / reading 78%, grade A-, #50 of 336 statewide, top 15%, 771 students, 20% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 34 units permitted in Bremer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bremer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $63k; list at $145k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.4% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29