3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Manufactured
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$976/mo
Annual
$11,711/yr
Cap rate
37.11%
Cash-on-cash
110.06%
DSCR
5.90
1% rule
4.11%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#41 in NE, #2,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Hastings Public Schools (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 111 in NE (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alcott Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 502 statewide, top 84%, 249 students, 66% FRL); Hastings Middle School (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #82 of 128 statewide, top 65%, 780 students, 52% FRL); Hastings Senior High School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #181 of 261 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (132 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 37.1% vs local median 4.3% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X1J2BW5SJR9XER
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29