2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$413/mo
Annual
$4,957/yr
Cap rate
14.56%
Cash-on-cash
29.51%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$16,799
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $973 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#550 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wilkins El Steam Academy (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,362 of 1,518 statewide, top 92%, 416 students, 100% FRL); Dickson Prep Steam Academy (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #455 of 512 statewide, top 89%, 642 students, 100% FRL); Woodland Hills Hs (math 37% / reading 30%, grade F, #323 of 437 statewide, top 74%, 949 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 69% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X1WX7A9JHQVSHE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29