3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
986 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,686/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$269
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$261/mo
Annual
$3,128/yr
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.30%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$42,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Barron Elementary (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 368 students, 87% FRL); Benjamin Syms Middle (math 62% / reading 64%, grade B+, #134 of 342 statewide, top 40%, 897 students, 69% FRL); Kecoughtan High (math 68% / reading 87%, grade A-, #83 of 319 statewide, top 28%, 1,564 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 49% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $153k implies a 923% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X1Y5MXARW2MGAX
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29