4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,704 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,361/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,223
Tax + insurance
−$580
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$706
Net cashflow
$-188/mo
Annual
$-2,252/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$118,692
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $424k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-188 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $391k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $336k (20.7% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $336k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; list at $424k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.4% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X2EVRF4DA8562R
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29