2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,133 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,072/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$880
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$-310/mo
Annual
$-3,722/yr
Cap rate
4.21%
Cash-on-cash
-7.43%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $179k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-310 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (30.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Westward Elementary School (math 30% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 500 students, 81% FRL); Bear Lakes Middle School (math 19% / reading 33%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 842 students, 74% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 722 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and tear
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: interior walls/paint
— Worn paint and general wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-X2H2028VJYPE3D
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29