1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
723 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$394
HOA
−$665
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$546
Net cashflow
$-53/mo
Annual
$-637/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.29%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-637/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (4.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $191k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#184 in FL, #2,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake Park Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 389 students, 83% FRL); Howell L. Watkins Middle School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #512 of 571 statewide, top 90%, 794 students, 76% FRL); Palm Beach Gardens High School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,570 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 403 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $200k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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