205 1st

Pecan Gap, TX 75469

$59,900B

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Built 1942 · SingleFamily · Active · 141 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $884/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$314
• Tax + insurance: −$100
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$186
• Net cashflow: $284/mo
• Annual: $3,411/yr
• Cap rate: 11.99%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.34%
• DSCR: 1.90
• 1% rule: 1.48%
• Cash to close: $16,772

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $60k).
• It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,090 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
• Fannindel ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,057 of 1,141 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Delta County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: Exterior siding — Weathered and in need of repair.
• Major: Flooring — Damaged and in need of replacement.
• Major: Interior walls/paint — Chipped and peeling in some areas.
• Major: Bathroom — Appears unfinished and in need of renovation.
• Major: Kitchen — Appears unfinished and in need of renovation.
• Major: Systems — Likely in need of updates based on the overall condition of the home.