3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,542 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$69/mo
Annual
$833/yr
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.48%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($833/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (6.0% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#631 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Weldon City Schools (town): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #178 of 178 in NC (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Weldon Elementary Global Academy (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,362 of 1,410 statewide, top 97%, 244 students, 99% FRL); Weldon Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #469 of 475 statewide, top 99%, 176 students, 98% FRL); Weldon Stem High School Career Academies (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #531 of 535 statewide, top 99%, 120 students, 98% FRL).
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Halifax County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $120k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.1% in Roanoke Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29