3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,692 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,507/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,254
Tax + insurance
−$522
HOA
−$29
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$527
Net cashflow
$-825/mo
Annual
$-9,899/yr
Cap rate
3.99%
Cash-on-cash
-8.22%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$120,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $430k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-825 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (33.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (41.7% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($404k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (41.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in IN, #898 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
Hamilton Southeastern Schools (suburban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in IN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $370k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X3W7C8FR70PZB5
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29