2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 309 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,583/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$933
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$120
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-285/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$49,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $178k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-285/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (11.0% below list).
It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 852 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.5% in Liberty Triangle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X3WZCK8176KJSV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29