2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,021 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Condo
· Contingent - Continue to Show
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,908/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$573/mo
Annual
$6,873/yr
Cap rate
13.24%
Cash-on-cash
24.80%
DSCR
2.10
1% rule
1.93%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Diekman Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 318 students, 0% FRL); Creative Communications Acad (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #660 of 665 statewide, top 100%, 177 students, 0% FRL); Thornwood High School (math 8% / reading 9%, grade F, #584 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,996 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 8.3% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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