2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,858 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,184/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$405
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$113/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($113/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (12.6% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Georgetown Primary (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 780 students, 92% FRL); Indian River Middle (math 37% / reading 63%, grade C, #231 of 342 statewide, top 69%, 736 students, 71% FRL); Indian River High (math 69% / reading 73%, grade B+, #146 of 319 statewide, top 47%, 1,701 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 28% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $89k; list at $250k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29