4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,168 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,366/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$850
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$497
Net cashflow
$619/mo
Annual
$7,432/yr
Cap rate
10.88%
Cash-on-cash
16.38%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$45,384
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Dwight-Bellizzi Dual Language Academy (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #541 of 553 statewide, top 98%, 626 students, 82% FRL); Betances Stem Magnet School (math 19% / reading 35%, grade F, #149 of 175 statewide, top 86%, 210 students, 77% FRL); Bulkeley High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #185 of 194 statewide, top 96%, 548 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $77k; list at $162k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,366/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1897% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X4Y4B87NQ9DE62
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29