4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,609 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,229/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,510
Tax + insurance
−$480
HOA
−$34
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$468
Net cashflow
$-263/mo
Annual
$-3,161/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.92%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$80,643
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-263 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (20.3% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $223k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $448 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#255 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X5GKD68VM89XKH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29