1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Condo
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,502/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$606
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$-461/mo
Annual
$-5,534/yr
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.46%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-461 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (25.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears slightly faded in some areas
Minor: Appliances
— Standard appliances may need cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-X5H8Y50PC5PK0R
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29