3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,453/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$268/mo
Annual
$3,221/yr
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.93%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Elementary (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #423 of 952 statewide, top 48%, 432 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln Heights Middle School (math 23% / reading 18%, grade F, #194 of 333 statewide, top 59%, 561 students, 0% FRL); Morristown West High (math 13% / reading 44%, grade F, #96 of 332 statewide, top 30%, 1,506 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 332 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $9k; list at $145k implies a 1511% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.9% in Morristown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X5JZQW73QZ805S
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29