2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,145 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,253/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$797
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$683
Net cashflow
$-133/mo
Annual
$-1,600/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.91%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $276k (7.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $276k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-465 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $96k; list at $300k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X5RSBA35F5BZ92
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29