2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,264/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$43
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$475
Net cashflow
$1,383/mo
Annual
$16,599/yr
Cap rate
30.35%
Cash-on-cash
85.91%
DSCR
4.82
1% rule
3.28%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#429 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Beaumont Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #168 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Beaumont Senior High (math 36% / reading 63%, grade D, #352 of 1,170 statewide, top 31%, 3,328 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 45% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $69k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 30.3% vs local median 3.5% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X5X0EWDRZ53WEA
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29