2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Manufactured
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,524/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$975
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$56/mo
Annual
$677/yr
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.67%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
6.10%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($677/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Guy Lee Elementary School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #392 of 412 statewide, top 96%, 347 students, 62% FRL); Hamlin Middle School (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #104 of 128 statewide, top 83%, 571 students, 64% FRL); Springfield High School (math 30% / reading 54%, grade F, #64 of 143 statewide, top 46%, 1,317 students, 65% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 64% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X63817873WV5DV
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29