5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,180 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,262/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,560
Tax + insurance
−$496
HOA
−$30
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$475
Net cashflow
$-299/mo
Annual
$-3,587/yr
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.31%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$83,306
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-299 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (14.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (24.0% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $226k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#436 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Greater Clark County Schools (suburban): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #224 of 301 in IN (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Utica Elementary School (math 60% / reading 56%, grade C+, #160 of 994 statewide, top 17%, 525 students, 30% FRL); Parkview Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #226 of 330 statewide, top 69%, 713 students, 63% FRL); Jeffersonville High School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 2,130 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 433 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 911 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.5% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X6ER6C3GJ8EWZJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29