3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,920 sqft ·
Built 1827
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 223 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,742/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$607
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$-589/mo
Annual
$-7,067/yr
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.83%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-589 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (40.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (32.7% below list).
It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#570 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Donald P Sutherland School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 232 students, 33% FRL); Howard L Goff School (math 61% / reading 73%, grade A-, #101 of 729 statewide, top 15%, 978 students, 28% FRL); Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1827 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $259k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1827 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29