3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,206/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,146/yr
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.25%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#530 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bratt Elementary School (math 65% / reading 55%, grade B-, #680 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 496 students, 54% FRL); Ernest Ward Middle School (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 486 students, 49% FRL); Northview High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 532 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $100k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.1% in Atmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X6XB9RE7R4KRWJ
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29