2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$776
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$560
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$24/mo
Annual
$293/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.71%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$41,412
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $148k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($293/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $139k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#27 in NH, #3,862 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety B+; Watch: commute C-, housing F.
Conway School District (rural): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #73 of 98 in NH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: John H. Fuller School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #62 of 263 statewide, top 30%, 177 students, 32% FRL); A. Crosby Kennett Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #60 of 96 statewide, top 63%, 235 students, 39% FRL); Kennett High School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #47 of 90 statewide, top 57%, 706 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in North Conway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X7AWSZD9801Z59
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29