None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,649/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,767
Tax + insurance
−$1,515
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,446
Net cashflow
$2,921/mo
Annual
$35,050/yr
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.77%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$254,520
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $909k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $909k).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($800k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $800k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary (496 students, 94% FRL); Roosevelt Middle (593 students, 95% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 68% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $141k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $570k; list at $909k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $255k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,649/mo this rent would consume 193% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: broken windows
— Structural damage
Major: exterior paint
— Severe graffiti and peeling paint
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt
CashFlowRE · CFR-X7KTW8FTFD44GM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29