2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 195 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,224/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$352/mo
Annual
$4,223/yr
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.85%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in TX, #3,504 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Quitman ISD (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #381 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Quitman El (math 40% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,437 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 581 students, 64% FRL); Quitman J H (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #613 of 1,662 statewide, top 38%, 270 students, 58% FRL); Quitman H S (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 365 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $58k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.9% in Quitman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X7ZGCK1QY6X826
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29