2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
735 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,772/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$372
Net cashflow
$225/mo
Annual
$2,703/yr
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.68%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#272 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
North Mason School District (rural): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #233 of 291 in WA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sand Hill Elementary (534 students, 57% FRL); Hawkins Middle School (474 students, 47% FRL); North Mason Senior High School (663 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 299 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.9% in Belfair — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X82ZNQ1NH338EN
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29