5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,462 sqft ·
Built 1870
· SingleFamily
· Active Under Contract
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,417/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$354
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$508
Net cashflow
$480/mo
Annual
$5,761/yr
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.04%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Leighton Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 288 students, 62% FRL); Oswego Middle School (math 23% / reading 49%, grade F, #469 of 729 statewide, top 65%, 566 students, 53% FRL); Oswego High School (math 87% / reading 79%, grade A, #440 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 1,069 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $94k; list at $205k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X8QV9REQN1YF1J
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29