4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
19,500 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 117 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,877
Tax + insurance
−$487
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$734
Net cashflow
$397/mo
Annual
$4,762/yr
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.75%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$100,240
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $358k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $198/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (2.4% below list).
It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($326k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $326k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime D-, amenities D-.
Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Onaga Elementary (580 students, 58% FRL); La Contenta Middle (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #426 of 498 statewide, top 86%, 650 students, 72% FRL); Yucca Valley High (math 15% / reading 49%, grade F, #674 of 1,170 statewide, top 59%, 1,264 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,495/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1132% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29