3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,411/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$456/mo
Annual
$5,474/yr
Cap rate
11.51%
Cash-on-cash
18.62%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#16 in NC, #1,454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, employment F.
Davidson County Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #62 of 178 in NC (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $44k; list at $105k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.1% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X9T3ZQ7BB4SWCY
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29