3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,501 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,785/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$585
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-208/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-208/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (2.3% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $276k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in IL, #1,366 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fox Chase Elementary School (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #644 of 2,056 statewide, top 31%, 634 students, 0% FRL); Thompson Jr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 840 students, 0% FRL); Oswego High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,901 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Oswego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X9Y28F2KKBGZS7
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29