4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,072 sqft ·
Built 1913
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$451/mo
Annual
$5,414/yr
Cap rate
10.03%
Cash-on-cash
13.34%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$40,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#86 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Lincoln Parish (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #24 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Glen View Elementary School (487 students, 69% FRL); Ruston Junior High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #112 of 218 statewide, top 52%, 558 students, 60% FRL); Ruston High School (math 53% / reading 60%, grade C, #26 of 265 statewide, top 10%, 1,310 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 332 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 171 units permitted in Lincoln Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $145k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.2% in Ruston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X9YYQDA5JZH0SB
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29