433 S 7th St #1623

Minneapolis, MN 55415

$239,900D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Built 1985 · Condo · Active · 376 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,953/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,258
• Tax + insurance: −$301
• HOA: −$1,225
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$620
• Net cashflow: $-451/mo
• Annual: $-5,417/yr
• Cap rate: 4.04%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.06%
• DSCR: 0.64
• 1% rule: 1.23%
• Cash to close: $67,172

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $240k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-451 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (33.2% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
• It's been on market 376 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $160k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
• Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Las Estrellas Elementary (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #797 of 857 statewide, top 93%, 336 students, 75% FRL); Northeast Middle (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #225 of 258 statewide, top 89%, 501 students, 65% FRL); Edison High (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 896 students, 76% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 376 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?