2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 361 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,246/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$654
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$-326/mo
Annual
$-3,916/yr
Cap rate
2.17%
Cash-on-cash
-14.72%
DSCR
0.35
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-326 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $48k (49.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (49.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#114 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Teton County School District #1 (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #14 of 41 in WY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #62 of 151 statewide, top 49%, 296 students, 12% FRL); Jackson Hole Middle School (math 50% / reading 67%, grade B, #21 of 55 statewide, top 39%, 703 students, 12% FRL); Jackson Hole High School (math 46% / reading 55%, grade D+, #30 of 75 statewide, top 39%, 822 students, 10% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 52% of rent.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Teton County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teton County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XB4EWY7CYMCZW8
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29