6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,632 sqft ·
Built 1942
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,807/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$589
Net cashflow
$1,041/mo
Annual
$12,495/yr
Cap rate
12.57%
Cash-on-cash
22.42%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#440 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Stone Creek Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 425 students, 84% FRL); Rossville Middle School (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 444 students, 81% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,244 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 61% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $67k; list at $199k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.9% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XB6XR220MQHJDP
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29