3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Other
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,663/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$975
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$17/mo
Annual
$202/yr
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.39%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$52,079
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $186k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($202/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (10.6% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hartman Elementary School (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #480 of 502 statewide, top 96%, 449 students, 0% FRL); Nathan Hale Magnet Middle School (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #125 of 128 statewide, top 98%, 620 students, 0% FRL); Northwest High School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #256 of 261 statewide, top 98%, 1,593 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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