1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
630 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$102
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$1,134/mo
Annual
$13,605/yr
Cap rate
76.42%
Cash-on-cash
250.46%
DSCR
12.14
1% rule
8.27%
Cash to close
$5,432
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $19k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $19k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $134 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $582 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#118 in WA, #2,417 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
Highline School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #200 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 76.4% vs local median 2.9% in SeaTac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XBH333AQCBZ9S4
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29