3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
912 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,975/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$415
Net cashflow
$711/mo
Annual
$8,529/yr
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.76%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $74 of equity ($968 loan paydown + $-894 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#295 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Columbus ISD (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #531 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Columbus El (math 35% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 760 students, 68% FRL); Columbus J H (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 333 students, 62% FRL); Columbus H S (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #897 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 505 students, 52% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Colorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.4% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29