9 bd · 9.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1959
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,684/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,447
Tax + insurance
−$1,060
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,664
Net cashflow
$4,514/mo
Annual
$54,162/yr
Cap rate
12.68%
Cash-on-cash
22.81%
DSCR
2.01
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$237,440
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $848k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($54k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $848k).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($746k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $746k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
San Jose Unified (urban): math 39% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #149 of 517 in CA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Walter L. Bachrodt Elementary (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,150 of 1,571 statewide, top 74%, 451 students, 63% FRL); Herbert Hoover Middle (math 20% / reading 38%, grade F, #224 of 498 statewide, top 46%, 971 students, 61% FRL); Abraham Lincoln High (math 31% / reading 54%, grade F, #466 of 1,170 statewide, top 40%, 1,693 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 38% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the San Jose Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $140k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $399k; list at $848k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $237k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Cluttered areas
— The property is cluttered with various items and furniture, which detracts from its appearance and usability.
Major: Yard and driveway cleanup
— The yard and driveway are cluttered with various items and furniture, which detracts from its appearance and usability.
Major: Kitchen organization
— The kitchen is cluttered with appliances and items on countertops and shelves, which detracts from its functionality and appearance.
Major: Bathroom organization
— The bathroom is cluttered with toiletries and items on countertops and shelves, which detracts from its functionality and appearance.
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