2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,125 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Pending
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,642/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$280
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$1/mo
Annual
$17/yr
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.04%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($17/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (3.4% below list).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#168 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Saluda River Academy For The Arts (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #256 of 597 statewide, top 45%, 344 students, 100% FRL); Northside Middle (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #128 of 229 statewide, top 58%, 555 students, 91% FRL); Brookland-Cayce High (math 32% / reading 77%, grade C-, #130 of 196 statewide, top 69%, 1,171 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 59% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $73k; list at $170k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29