2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,026 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$941/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$304
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$359/mo
Annual
$4,303/yr
Cap rate
13.72%
Cash-on-cash
26.54%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$16,212
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($400 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,332 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Gillespie CUSD 7 (town): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #485 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Gillespie High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 340 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gillespie CUSD 7 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XCQQ214JEVXMJH
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29