4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,197
Tax + insurance
−$497
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$863
Net cashflow
$551/mo
Annual
$6,618/yr
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.64%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$117,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $419k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $411k (1.9% below list).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($381k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $381k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 358 students, 84% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Gardens High School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,570 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $41k; list at $419k implies a 922% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,108/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29