3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,990 sqft ·
Built 2022
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,817/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$274
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$-333/mo
Annual
$-4,001/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.01%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-333 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (36.2% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#55 in NC, #4,469 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, commute F.
Macon County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #71 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: South Macon Elementary (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 498 students, 72% FRL); Macon Middle School (math 38% / reading 48%, grade D-, #191 of 475 statewide, top 41%, 599 students, 59% FRL); Franklin High (math 77% / reading 60%, grade B, #134 of 535 statewide, top 25%, 1,005 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macon County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.4% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XDV6QJAH6P8X3J
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29