49 Hull St

New York, NY 11233

$1,188,000D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,548 sqft · Built 2000 · MultiFamily · Active · 255 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $6,688/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$6,230
• Tax + insurance: −$1,185
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,404
• Net cashflow: $-2,132/mo
• Annual: $-25,579/yr
• Cap rate: 4.14%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.69%
• DSCR: 0.66
• 1% rule: 0.56%
• Cash to close: $332,640

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.19M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-26k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-1k/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $811k (31.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $669k (43.7% below list).
• It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.05M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $669k (43.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $127k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $119k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$204k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 39% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $6,688/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 6960% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?