8 bd · 8.0 ba ·
2,803 sqft ·
Built 1969
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,584/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,653
Tax + insurance
−$1,738
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,853
Net cashflow
$340/mo
Annual
$4,081/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.88%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$462,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2.0-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.65M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $85/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.36M (17.7% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.63M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.36M (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $50k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Morningside K-8 Academy (math 38% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 415 students, 69% FRL); Horace Mann Middle School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #497 of 571 statewide, top 88%, 528 students, 76% FRL); Miami Edison Senior High School (math 19% / reading 15%, grade F, #597 of 667 statewide, top 90%, 623 students, 72% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 369 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.16M; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,584/mo this rent would consume 217% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2049% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XEB9689DNM0D2R
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29