6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
4,258 sqft ·
Built 1870
· Other
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,655/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$384
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$-435/mo
Annual
$-5,225/yr
Cap rate
4.28%
Cash-on-cash
-7.20%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-435 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (29.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (36.1% below list).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (36.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#43 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Colebrook School District (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #144 of 171 in NH (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $193k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XF1KZ4CC57K794
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29