3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,051
Tax + insurance
−$334
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$-451/mo
Annual
$-5,410/yr
Cap rate
3.59%
Cash-on-cash
-9.64%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$56,111
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-451 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Osolo Elementary School (math 20% / reading 18%, grade F, #829 of 994 statewide, top 84%, 490 students, 76% FRL); North Side Middle School (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #263 of 330 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 72% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29