3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
842 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,047/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$454
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$268/mo
Annual
$3,211/yr
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.26%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$24,220
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($598 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#669 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Forest City Community School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #111 of 289 in IA (top 38%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Forest City Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 487 students, 39% FRL); Forest City Middle School (math 69% / reading 83%, grade A, #59 of 246 statewide, top 26%, 330 students, 41% FRL); Forest City High School (math 66% / reading 75%, grade B+, #140 of 336 statewide, top 43%, 324 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XG9Y3W0AVE5FY8
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29