4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
805 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 243 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,934/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$202
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$-90/mo
Annual
$-1,074/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#48 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Woodbridge School District (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #21 of 26 in DE (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Bridgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XH4MG9CY1CCDWS
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29