5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,220 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$837
Net cashflow
$2,249/mo
Annual
$26,990/yr
Cap rate
27.07%
Cash-on-cash
74.20%
DSCR
4.30
1% rule
3.07%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $750/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 0% / reading 2%, grade F, #2,052 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 727 students, 0% FRL); Reservoir Gifted School (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A+, #2 of 665 statewide, top 0%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Peoria SD 150 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $130k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 5.5% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29